Biến đổi khí hậu, quản trị công và bất bình đẳng thu nhập ở Việt Nam: Bằng chứng thực nghiệm cấp tỉnh từ mô hình ARDL
Từ khóa:
Biến đổi khí hậu, Quản trị công, Bất bình đẳng thu nhập, ARDLTóm tắt
Bài báo nghiên cứu tác động của biến đổi khí hậu và quản trị công đối với bất bình đẳng thu nhập tại 63 tỉnh thành của Việt Nam trong giai đoạn 2006-2021 thông qua mô hình phân phối trễ tự hồi quy (Autoregressive Distributed Lag, ARDL). Kết quả nghiên cứu cho thấy biến đổi khí hậu làm tăng bất bình đẳng thu nhập, trong khi quản trị công làm giảm bất bình đẳng thu nhập tại Việt Nam trong cả ngắn hạn và dài hạn. Cụ thể, tác động của biến đổi khí hậu đến bất bình đẳng thu nhập trong ngắn hạn mạnh hơn so với trong dài hạn. Ngược lại, ảnh hưởng của quản trị công trong việc cải thiện tình trạng bất bình đẳng thu nhập về lâu dài có ý nghĩa hơn so với ngắn hạn. Đặc biệt, quản trị công tốt có thể làm giảm tác động bất lợi của biến đổi khí hậu lên phân phối thu nhập.
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